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The Unemployment Expectations Index declined 5.2% to 140.0, partially reversing April’s spike, though concerns around labour market conditions remain elevated relative to long‑run averages. The House Price Expectations Index fell 1.8% to 150.6, indicating softer housing sentiment, while the Interest Rate Expectations Index rose 2.3% to 181.2, a fresh three‑year high, with 85% of consumers expecting mortgage rates to rise further over the next 12 months. Overall, easing fuel pressures have provided some near‑term relief, but heightened inflation risks, higher borrowing costs and a weakening economic outlook continue to weigh on consumer confidence.",[521],{"type":214,"attrs":522},{"color":15},{"_uid":524,"data":525,"title":563,"xAxis":564,"yAxis":589,"content":595,"chartType":376,"component":377,"valueType":613,"remove_spacing":249,"tooltipVariance":55},"981ded09-abf0-4675-9172-23592b42d34d",[526],{"_uid":527,"color":255,"values":528,"baseline":302,"category":563,"component":301,"YAxisIndex":302,"displayValues":249,"baselineColour":303},"07aaebd5-7032-4206-a096-158d3b6b9eee",[529,532,535,538,541,544,546,549,552,555,558,560],{"_uid":530,"value":531,"component":260,"bottomLabel":249,"labelColour":15},"7ca174d5-74f3-44ed-bf19-30550330e35f","0.1",{"_uid":533,"value":534,"component":260,"bottomLabel":55,"labelColour":15},"0891cf6a-f35c-4aa6-ac26-116ffe024789","1.1",{"_uid":536,"value":537,"component":260,"bottomLabel":249,"labelColour":15},"7c8c6278-23b0-4e13-8e81-704a6efde85b","0.3",{"_uid":539,"value":540,"component":260,"bottomLabel":55,"labelColour":15},"581e2900-d18e-4329-89ca-90f7e31f3bd6","0.4",{"_uid":542,"value":543,"component":260,"bottomLabel":249,"labelColour":15},"5e450272-5129-4e3a-8879-6a8860a6197f","0.0",{"_uid":545,"value":537,"component":260,"bottomLabel":55,"labelColour":15},"e5933187-0718-436d-bc94-8ba13e581a39",{"_uid":547,"value":548,"component":260,"bottomLabel":55,"labelColour":15},"8bafa269-1fec-4c7a-95d9-39ae5984cc38","1.4",{"_uid":550,"value":551,"component":260,"bottomLabel":55,"labelColour":15},"0a051e3b-41b7-4feb-a634-06dc8c47136c","1.0",{"_uid":553,"value":554,"component":260,"bottomLabel":249,"labelColour":15},"17e24dea-6762-4d59-a7ff-e6cd240e662b","-0.5",{"_uid":556,"value":557,"component":260,"bottomLabel":55,"labelColour":15},"1d5599d6-5290-47d9-9913-8a8791e7317c","0.2",{"_uid":559,"value":537,"component":260,"bottomLabel":55,"labelColour":15},"64acca46-536c-418d-bd16-e584383eb1ec",{"_uid":561,"value":562,"component":260,"bottomLabel":55,"labelColour":15},"28c876a9-41ae-4cd7-a27c-21e93ba502e8","1.6","Household spending",[565,567,569,571,573,575,577,579,581,583,585,587],{"_uid":566,"label":307,"component":308},"3b7bfd52-89d8-4879-b01c-1a96ce1fdefc",{"_uid":568,"label":311,"component":308},"b15bc391-4d52-43f7-8092-8a7321bed7d7",{"_uid":570,"label":314,"component":308},"a45301de-6a9d-4442-b4bc-e148e121e1cc",{"_uid":572,"label":317,"component":308},"562a36ed-0545-42e9-bb24-2619bd51e20a",{"_uid":574,"label":320,"component":308},"d14bf7d4-5df0-4cd7-a006-7f82acebaadf",{"_uid":576,"label":323,"component":308},"55c8afb4-cc0b-4122-9b47-81395e3f09d9",{"_uid":578,"label":326,"component":308},"b6a5cc60-36b9-4c92-851a-f65bea1488fa",{"_uid":580,"label":329,"component":308},"9494f89f-4cf9-4e91-be74-7d8199b0933c",{"_uid":582,"label":332,"component":308},"8946cd94-f821-4cd9-8eac-161d5ffc3aec",{"_uid":584,"label":335,"component":308},"262d9612-9be8-4197-b077-84df0be6bd8d",{"_uid":586,"label":338,"component":308},"b756a296-5a7d-46e9-8e7d-ed9ff6d0dcee",{"_uid":588,"label":341,"component":308},"3e938d15-999e-4a50-8e70-cfd561a7c6d9",[590],{"max":591,"min":592,"_uid":593,"label":594,"interval":551,"component":355},"2.0","-2.0","740ce9cd-5202-4aff-8aaf-50005c2fa7ee","% change",{"type":203,"content":596},[597],{"type":359,"content":598},[599,606],{"type":362,"content":600},[601],{"type":206,"attrs":602,"content":603},{"textAlign":52},[604],{"text":605,"type":211},"vs prior month - 1.6%",{"type":362,"content":607},[608],{"type":206,"attrs":609,"content":610},{"textAlign":52},[611],{"text":612,"type":211},"vs pcp - 6.3%","percentage",{"_uid":615,"buttons":616,"content":617,"component":248,"remove_spacing":249},"fde45b4d-1013-4c72-89f2-dbd8a90e7794",[],{"type":203,"content":618},[619,626,641,649,714,722],{"type":206,"attrs":620,"content":621},{"textAlign":52},[622],{"text":623,"type":211,"marks":624},"Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics ",[625],{"type":391},{"type":206,"attrs":627,"content":628},{"textAlign":52},[629,634,636],{"text":630,"type":211,"marks":631},"The most recent ABS Household Spending Indicator (ABS HSI) recorded a 1.6% increase (seasonally adjusted) in March 2026, following modest growth in February (+0.2%). The read was 6.3% higher than March 2025. Growth in March was largely driven by transport spending, as fuel prices surged amid the conflict in the Middle East, with food also contributing as Easter festivities fell in late March. The overall 1.6% increase in the ABS HSI reflected a 0.6% lift in discretionary spending and a 3.4% increase in non‑discretionary spending, highlighting a continuation of cost-of-living pressures. This ",[632],{"type":214,"attrs":633},{"color":15},{"text":635,"type":211},"trajectory ",{"text":637,"type":211,"marks":638},"is consistent with continued upward pressure on headline CPI, with March inflation rising to 4.6%, up from 3.7% in February.",[639],{"type":214,"attrs":640},{"color":15},{"type":206,"attrs":642,"content":643},{"textAlign":52},[644],{"text":645,"type":211,"marks":646},"Household spending by sub‑category mostly increased in the month:",[647],{"type":214,"attrs":648},{"color":15},{"type":359,"content":650},[651,658,665,672,679,686,693,700,707],{"type":362,"content":652},[653],{"type":206,"attrs":654,"content":655},{"textAlign":52},[656],{"text":657,"type":211},"‘Transport’ up 5.1%",{"type":362,"content":659},[660],{"type":206,"attrs":661,"content":662},{"textAlign":52},[663],{"text":664,"type":211},"‘Food’ up 1.7%",{"type":362,"content":666},[667],{"type":206,"attrs":668,"content":669},{"textAlign":52},[670],{"text":671,"type":211},"‘Miscellaneous goods and services’ up 1.7%",{"type":362,"content":673},[674],{"type":206,"attrs":675,"content":676},{"textAlign":52},[677],{"text":678,"type":211},"‘Furnishings and household equipment’ up 1.6%",{"type":362,"content":680},[681],{"type":206,"attrs":682,"content":683},{"textAlign":52},[684],{"text":685,"type":211},"‘Clothing and footwear’ up 1.3%",{"type":362,"content":687},[688],{"type":206,"attrs":689,"content":690},{"textAlign":52},[691],{"text":692,"type":211},"‘Recreation and culture’ up 1.3%",{"type":362,"content":694},[695],{"type":206,"attrs":696,"content":697},{"textAlign":52},[698],{"text":699,"type":211},"‘Health’ up 0.3%",{"type":362,"content":701},[702],{"type":206,"attrs":703,"content":704},{"textAlign":52},[705],{"text":706,"type":211},"‘Alcoholic beverages and tobacco’ down 0.1%",{"type":362,"content":708},[709],{"type":206,"attrs":710,"content":711},{"textAlign":52},[712],{"text":713,"type":211},"‘Hotels, cafés and restaurants’ down 0.9%",{"type":206,"attrs":715,"content":716},{"textAlign":52},[717],{"text":718,"type":211,"marks":719},"The increase in March was driven primarily by transport (+5.1%), reflecting the impact of soaring fuel prices as shortages and war‑related disruptions flowed through. Growth was also supported by food spending (+1.7%), with earlier Easter timing highlighting that while consumers remain increasingly value‑conscious, they continue to spend selectively during festive periods.",[720],{"type":214,"attrs":721},{"color":15},{"type":206,"attrs":723,"content":724},{"textAlign":52},[725,730],{"text":726,"type":211,"marks":727},"Spending on goods and services increased by 2.9% and 0.1%, respectively, in March. While goods spending rebounded strongly in the month, services spending continues to outpace goods on an annual basis, rising 6.9% between March 2025 and March 2026 compared with 5.8% for goods. 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